Presidential polls 2024 latest: Five Thirty Eight election forecast shows Donald Trump and Kamala Harris in a dead heat

Trump’s rise comes after Kamala Harris’ interview on Fox News’ Bret Baier show ‘Special Report’.

And it’s the new high for the ex-president on the site since President Joe Biden spectacularly dropped out of the race in July.

The new surge occurred after Harris’ testy interview on Fox where she sparred with Baier over immigration and more.

She is ramping up her media blitz in recent weeks with only 19 days left to the election.

The election forecast Five Thirty Eight shows that Kamala Harris has a 50 percent chance of winning the election in less than three weeks.

Meanwhile, Donald Trump is just below at 49 percent, making the race a dead heat.

In the national polling average, Harris has the slight edge by just 2.8 points.

‘We’re in pure tossup territory, and Harris’ slight lead last week has disappeared,’ writes Silver.

The latest represents a one-point improvement for former President Trump from Silver’s previous model.

Donald Trump is venting his fury toward CBS again. He used his Truth Social platform to highlight a report on Fox News about a complaint made to the Federal Communications Commission about Kamala Harris’ appearance on 60 Minutes.

Conservatives are furious that a lengthy ‘word salad’ answer to a question about Israel that appeared in a promotional trailer appeared as a tighter, more focused response when the whole show was broadcast.

Trump demanded again that CBS be taken off air, but also demanded that Harris be investigated and Biden be restored to the Democratic ticket.

Kamala should be investigated and forced off the Campaign, and Joe Biden allowed to take back his rightful place (He got 14 Million Primary Votes, she got none!). THIS WHOLE SORDID AND FRAUDULENT EVENT IS A THREAT TO DEMOCRACY!

A new general election poll shows Donald Trump ahead by one point in Wisconsin, putting the race in the swing state in a dead heat.

The poll conducted by Scott Rasmussen for Napolitan News puts Trump at 50 percent and Harris at 49 percent.

It comes as Harris is criss-crossing the state on Thursday.

The poll has Democratic Senator Tammy Baldwin at 50 percent and Republican challenger Eric Hovde at 47 percent in the state.

Top lawmakers praised Israel for taking out the Hamas mastermind of the October 7, 2023 attack.

House Minority Leader Hakeem Jeffries said:

Hamas leader Yahya Sinwar orchestrated the barbaric terrorist attack perpetrated against Israel on October 7, 2023, resulting in the largest loss of Jewish life in a single day since the Holocaust.

As a result of the diabolical actions of Sinwar and Hamas, 1,200 people, including 46 Americans, were murdered and more than 250 people were taken hostage. 

Today, the State of Israel, the Middle East and the free world is a safer place with the death of Yahya Sinwar. Terror will never win.

Top Senate Republicans also weighed in, calling his death a ‘mighty blow to Hamas and Iran.’

By Katelyn Caralle, Senior U.S. Political Reporter

A pro-Palestinian protester was arrested outside a barber shop in The Bronx where Donald Trump was campaigning on Thursday.

The man was riding a bike while wielding a Palestinian flag to show his support for the people caught in the crosshairs of war between Israel and Hamas terrorists – the de facto government in Gaza.

The man rode straight through the barricades around Trump’s campaign stop on Thursday, yelling ‘Free Palestine!’

Police arrested him while he attempted to burn Israeli Defense Force flag across the street from where Trump is stopping for a haircut.

Donald Trump divulged a rare bit of very personal information about his son Barron after a podcaster inquired about his son’s dating life.

Trump, who routinely recites just a few anodyne facts when asked about his 18-year-old son with former first lady Melania Trump, fielded the question in an appearance on the PBD podcast with interviewer Patrick Bet-David.

‘Is he good with the ladies in school at NYU? Is he there yet?’ asked the interviewer.

Rather than dodge it, Trump gave a direct answer.

‘No, I’m not sure he’s – I don’t think he’s had a girlfriend yet,’ Trump revealed. ‘I don’t think so. Every once in a while …’ he said, before ending the thought in rapid-fire conversation.

MAGA fans are going crazy on social media for new gold ‘Trump sneakers.’

You can preorder them for $499 in order to get them in time for Christmas, the site reads.

Donald Trump reportedly pulled out of an NBC News interview scheduled for Monday.

The interview was due to happen in Philadelphia and focused mainly on the economy.

CNN reported the interview had been called off for Monday but could still happen.

CNN’s Kaitlan Collins wasn’t happy with how Fox News handled its interview with Kamala Harris.

The anchor specifically called out Fox’s Bret Baier for not playing Donald Trump’s original ‘enemy within’ comments when asking the vice president to respond to his reaction to her criticism of his remarks.

Baier’s under 30-minute interview with Harris on Wednesday was extremely contentious.

He complained that the VP showed up for their pre-taped sit-down in Pennsylvania 15 minutes late and her team tried to cut it short.

Collins took particular issue with how her broadcast news colleague presented Trump’s claims that the ‘enemy within’ the U.S. is more dangerous to him than external and foreign threats.

Donald Trump revisited his criticisms of Kamala Harris’s racial identity in a new podcast interview.

Last month, Trump was widely denounced after claiming he was unaware of Harris’ true racial heritage and suggesting that she ‘turned black.’

‘I didn’t know she was black,’ he said before the National Association of Black Journalists in Chicago.

‘She was always of Indian heritage, and she was only promoting Indian heritage… until a number of years ago, when she happened to turn black, and now she wants to be known as black,’ Trump said.

He doubled down on those comments in podcast interview with entrepreneur Patrick Bet-David that aired Thursday, taking it further to suggest it as a reason black males might be turned off by her.

The Al Smith Foundation’s vice chair of the board of directors Mary Erdoes, says in an email that Kamala Harris ‘will be joining us on screen, likely via video’ at the charity dinner in New York City, according to a report from Daily Caller.

Former President Donald Trump is scheduled to appear at the charity dinner on Thursday evening while the Harris campaign previously said she was unable to attend.

At the time, Harris’ decision not to attend prompted a wry comment from New York City Cardinal Dolan.

‘This hasn’t happened in 40 years, since Walter Mondale turned down the invitation. And remember, he lost 49 out of 50 states,’ he said.

A new poll out of battleground Michigan shows former President Donald Trump up one point over Vice President Kamala Harris in a two-way race – 48 percent to 47 percent.

The survey shows Trump and Harris tied at 47 percent each when third-party contenders including Green Party hopeful Jill Stein and Libertarian Chase Oliver are factored in.

From Rob Crilly, Chief U.S. Political Correspondent in Wilkes-Barre, Pennsylvania

On Sunday the Democratic Party flew a banner over the Philadelphia Eagles football game reading: ‘Go Birds! Sack Project 2025! Vote Kamala.’

Donald Trump may have tried to distance himself from Project 2025, a hardline conservative manifesto setting out a program for government written by his allies, but our new poll reveals just how damaging it could be for him in the critical swing state of Pennsylvania .

When independent voters were asked to describe in a word their main hesitation in voting for the former president, their number-one answer was: 2025.

The results are particularly striking when they are set out in a word cloud.

The terms ‘2025,’ ‘plan,’ and ‘people,’ dominate the graphic.

J.D. Vance addressed the issue of whether Trump won the 2020 election when pressed by a reporter in Williamsport, North Carolina.

Did Donald Trump lose the election? Not by the words that I would use.

But look, I really couldn’t care less if you agree with me or disagree with me on this issue.

Donald Trump tore into his political rival Kamala Harris’ performance during her first Fox News interview.

The high-drama sitdown spanned nearly 30 minutes as Baier and the VP sparred over the administration’s immigration policies, sex changes for inmates and other hot topics.

Baier tried to press Harris on a number of key issues but the vice president protested that he needed to let her finish her answers to the questions.

Meanwhile she tore into Donald Trump for being totally ‘unfit to serve’ as president for a second term because he’s ‘dangerous.’

Trump congratulated Fox News host Bret Baier for his ‘tough but very fair interview’ before ripping into Harris’ hit.

He wrote on X and his social media site Truth Social: ‘Great job by Bret Baier in his Interview with Lyin’ Kamala Harris. She has a massive and irredeemable case of TRUMP DERANGEMENT SYNDROME.’

Sarah Ewall-Wice, Senior U.S. Political Reporter:

Vice President Kamala Harris is criss-crossing Wisconsin Thursday with a series of campaign events as she works to reach voters all across the state with less than 20 days to go before Election Day.

The Democratic presidential nominee is holding events in Milwaukee, La Crosse and Green Bay as Wisconsin is part of Democrats’ so-called ‘blue wall’ and is seen as crucial on their path to the White House.

To date, the campaign has knocked on more than one million doors across the state since Harris launched her campaign. They have more than 250 staff on the ground at more than 50 campaign offices across the state.

The race there is expected to all come down to turnout. The latest polls show Harris and Donald Trump dead heat in the state with Harris holding a 0.3 lead in the average of polls.

Harris is starting her day in Milwaukee after flying into the state from Pennsylvania Wednesday night. There, she will stop by a business class at University of Wisconsin-Milwaukee speak with students and promote her plans to supports entrepreneurship and small business growth, according to the campaign.

From there, Harris heads to La Crosse where she will hold a rally at the University of Wisconsin-La Crosse. The vice president will be introduced by Cisco Garcia, a UW-La Crosse student.

The Vice President will finish her whirlwind trip to the state with a rally in Green Bay with state leaders.

Wisconsin early in-person voting kicks off in less than a week on October 22.

According to the betting site Polymarket, Trump is leading Harris in all seven swing states.

• Arizona: 68 percent
• North Carolina: 63 percent
• Georgia: 65 percent
• Pennsylvania: 59 percent
• Michigan and Wisconsin: 56 percent

According to the site, Nevada is the only battleground state where the candidates are in a dead 50-50 heat.

Donald Trump Jr. says his father, former President Donald Trump, ‘knows the McDonald’s menu much better than Kamala Harris ever did.’

Speaking about inflationary prices, he said: ‘If I take my kids to McDonald’s, and Donald Trump Jr. has sticker shock at McDonald’s because it’s too expensive, that’s a problem.

‘If I’m upset when I go to McDonald’s or the grocery store, what’s a hard-working, blue-collar American family making 50, 60, $70,000 a year– how do they feel?’

‘You mentioned McDonald’s,’ replied Watters.’I know your dad’s gonna be there, Sunday working the fry machine. Did your dad watch the Fox interview with Kamala?’

‘Listen, I think my father knows the McDonald’s menu much better than Kamala Harris ever did, and yet she can’t tell us which Mc – I wish Bret would have asked which McDonald’s she worked at because, you know, she’ll just tell you whatever you wanna hear to seem relatable and likable,’ Trump Jr. said.

His dad is scheduled to visit a McDonald’s in Pennsylvania this weekend as part of an ongoing jab against Harris’ claim she worked at one in California when she was younger.

Fox News host Bret Baier revealed some rocky details about his interview with Kamala Harris.

The vice president showed up late for her interview with the right-leaning network, he explained after their sit-down aired on Wednesday evening.

He also said that Harris’ team tried to shorten the time allotted for their pre-taped conversation.

Speaking with a panel on his Special Report report program, Baier said:

We were supposed to start at 5:00 p.m., this was the time they gave. Originally, we were going to do 25 or 30 minutes, they came in and said ‘maybe 20.’ So it was already getting whittled down.

And then, the vice president showed up about 5:15 – we were pushing the envelope to be able to turn it around for the top of the 6 o’clock. So that’s how it started.

And I could tell when we started talking that she was going to be tough to, you know, redirect without me trying to interrupt.

During a Univision town hall with Hispanic voters, Trump was asked to name three nice qualities about Harris.

He replied that ‘she seems to have an ability to survive’ and she ‘seems to have some pretty longtime friendships.’

Lastly he added: ‘She seems to have a nice way about her.’

I mean, I like the way some of her statements, some of her – the way she behaves, in a certain way. But in another way, I think it’s very bad for our country.

By Katelyn Caralle, Senior U.S. Political Reporter

The presidential race was turned on its head this week after polling revealed Vice President Kamala Harris’ lead over Donald Trump disappearing.

Conducted October 11 and 14 among 1,110 registered voters, Trump is leading Harris 50 percent to 48 percent, which is a 4-point improvement from when the VP was ahead by 2 percent last month.

Harris, however, maintains a 6-point lead among voters from the seven key battleground states: Arizona, Georgia, Michigan, Nevada, North Carolina, Pennsylvania and Wisconsin.

Most national polling this week has shown Harris’ lead either diminishing or completely disappearing since her boost after the debate with Trump in September.

Most results reveal a gap that falls within the respective polling’s margin of error.

Social media trolls are signing up to attend Donald Trump’s Madison Square Garden rally with no intention of going, but the joke may be on them.

The ex-president’s rally in the heart of Manhattan at the legendary arena may not win him the state of New York, but it will galvanize Trump’s growing enthusiasm in the area – particularly among minority communities with whom his support has been surging recently.

Trump and his campaign hope to sell out the 19,500 seats at MSG on Sunday, October 27, but some are already threatening to derail the event.

Early voting started Thursday in North Carolina as several parts of the state are still reeling from Hurricane Helene.

The state is one of the biggest battlegrounds of 2024 as Democrats believe they can flip it blue on their path to the White House after Donald Trump won it in 2016 and 2020.

North Carolina also has an extremely contentious governors race between Democratic state Attorney General Josh Stein and embattled Republican Lt. Governor Mark Robinson whose campaign has been dealing with shocking reports of controversial past comments and actions by the candidate.

Mail-in voting in the state started last month, but in-person early voting has now begun and runs through November 2 before Election Day on November 5.

In the area hit hardest by Helene, polls will be open from 9 a.m. to 5 p.m. for residents to cast their ballots.

Buncombe Board of Elections Chair Jake Quinn said:

We’ve got a new early voting plan. Please everybody, spread the word.

Vice President Kamala Harris’ team frantically tried to get Fox News host Bret Baier to wrap up their interview early toward the end of the testy sit-down in Pennsylvania Wednesday.

The Democratic presidential nominee joined Baier for an interview aired on his nightly Special Report show – her first-ever interview for the conservative news network.

The pair spoke over each other numerous times as Baier grilled the 59-year-old vice president – who showed up 17 minutes late, according to the newsman – on multiple topics including immigration right out of the gate.

‘I’m talking like four people waving their hands like “it’s got to stop,”‘ Baier described to his panel about how the taped but unedited interview ended after it aired at the top of his 6 pm show.

‘I had to dismount there at the end,’ Baier shrugged.

‘There are so many things and maybe she should do more of these,’ he added.

By Katelyn Caralle, Senior U.S. Political Reporter

Donald Trump commended Fox News host Bret Baier for his ‘tough but very fair interview’ with Vice President Kamala Harris.

The former president’s praise came after MAGA social media users speculated ahead of the interview that the right-leaning network would favorably edit its sit-down with Harris.

Trump wrote on X and his social media site Truth Social:

Great job by Bret Baier in his Interview with Lyin’ Kamala Harris. She has a massive and irredeemable case of TRUMP DERANGEMENT SYNDROME

He added that Baier’s interview ‘clearly showed how totally incompetent Kamala is.’